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MI vs DC: Will rain hand Mumbai Indians an unfair advantage over Delhi Capitals?

As the IPL 2025 league stage approaches its climax, the all-important showdown between Mumbai Indians and Delhi Capitals on May 21 at the Wankhede Stadium is shaping up to be a virtual quarter-final. With a playoff berth at stake, the outcome of this high-voltage encounter could determine the fourth and final team to progress to the knockout stage.

Meanwhile, Mumbai’s weather has taken center stage as concerns rise over the likelihood of rain disrupting the MI vs DC contest. With the southwest monsoon gradually making its way into parts of India, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has flagged potentially adverse weather conditions in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) on the match day.

According to the IMD’s latest bulletin, thunderstorms accompanied by lightning, moderate rainfall, and gusty winds ranging between 40 to 50 km/h are likely to affect isolated parts of Mumbai. The forecast attributes this to a cyclonic circulation expected to develop over the Arabian Sea, off the Karnataka coast, on Wednesday.

Private weather portal AccuWeather has projected the probability of rainfall at 25 percent, with the cloud cover being expected to reach 100 percent, raising concerns over possible match delays or interruptions. Although not guaranteed, even intermittent showers could impact the flow of the game.

What happens if MI vs DC is called off?

With both Mumbai and Delhi vying for the last remaining playoff spot, the stakes couldn’t be higher. For Hardik Pandya-led MI, a victory would seal their progression, while Rishabh Pant’s DC will be equally eager to snatch the opportunity. However, the looming weather threat could become the ultimate decider in what promises to be a gripping encounter.

If the match is washed out due to rain, both teams will be awarded one point each. In such a scenario, MI will move to 15 points, while DC will climb to 14.

Should MI go on to win their final league match, they will finish with 17 points, ensuring qualification for the playoffs regardless of other outcomes. In contrast, even if DC win their last game, they will only reach 16 points, falling short of MI’s tally. On the other hand, if MI lose their final fixture and remain on 15 points, DC can overtake them and seal a playoff berth by winning their last match and reaching 16 points.

However, if both teams lose their respective final encounters, MI will qualify ahead of DC by virtue of having one more point. Thus, while the abandoned game would slightly tilt the advantage in MI`s favour, the final playoff spot will still hinge on the results of each team’s last match.

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